Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 152.561905 181.280874 216.784203 264.953622 330.357122 4.189072e+02 553.370800
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 116.943673 150.122707 196.445739 269.437379 389.502188 5.975594e+02 1043.172764
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 91.849365 123.173918 170.133849 251.422428 404.008009 7.244212e+02 1672.994676
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 80.575212 112.333218 163.133530 259.385481 466.529943 1.010213e+03 3582.322899
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 70.231895 100.439422 150.904322 252.760642 495.551908 1.263546e+03 7349.878138
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 63.913527 93.672861 145.547839 257.188160 554.228316 1.730614e+03 25021.496632
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 57.332368 85.353808 135.562144 248.342641 572.516041 2.103954e+03 111329.845678
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 56.939078 87.512056 145.499830 288.303224 778.710135 4.545178e+03 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 56.659418 89.764136 156.131623 335.751633 1091.224022 1.373359e+04 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 52.469632 84.077620 148.796615 330.616843 1164.723292 2.347987e+04 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 49.927473 81.229970 147.176764 342.271003 1358.976448 7.564197e+04 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 48.667941 80.719837 150.760861 372.673767 1763.182204 2.019855e+07 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 45.729519 77.320702 148.967591 393.024808 2293.686615 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 42.211577 72.377093 142.686613 395.794814 2768.009881 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 37.899953 65.211207 129.306707 363.334219 2670.616011 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 35.765412 62.432955 126.836307 376.597615 3484.285021 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 33.145248 58.252401 119.715619 365.156258 3824.425806 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 31.397870 55.787149 116.823214 372.694117 4899.719687 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 29.261986 52.209814 110.128054 357.604519 5184.302859 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 29.290186 53.543812 117.891822 426.820403 13035.176490 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 29.297635 54.831204 126.007723 512.571034 58868.915219 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 27.727047 52.125272 120.790518 503.107141 87618.039217 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 26.736397 50.738849 119.669555 524.649782 351156.663913 NaN NaN